We found 7 business ideas that will blow up in 2026
- 01The "Good Crazy" Filter: Contrarian Idea Validation
- 02The Physical/Analog Counter-Revolution
- 03"State Management" as the Next Wellness Mega-Trend
1. Key Themes
The "Good Crazy" Filter: Contrarian Idea Validation
The central thesis of the episode is that truly great startup ideas must initially seem crazy to a majority of people. If everyone nods in agreement, it's a red flag, not a green one.
"If you say an idea and everybody in the room nods, if 100% of the room nods and says that's a good idea, run away. You're about to waste three years of your life. You need some people to think this is the worst idea, this is the craziest. Who would do that? Who would let strangers sleep on their couch? Who would let strangers into their car?" - Sam Parr 00:02:23
The Physical/Analog Counter-Revolution
A recurring theme across multiple ideas — dumb phones, physical newspapers, rotary landlines, hyperbaric chambers at home — is that there's a growing, monetizable consumer desire to escape digital overstimulation and return to tactile, physical experiences.
"Am I really just selling a landline or am I selling a return to the physical? A return to the real. And it's like, oh, I like that. There's a lot of people who want to return to the real. What does that entail? Oh, there's other products that might make a lot of sense in that case." - Sam Parr 00:42:17
"State Management" as the Next Wellness Mega-Trend
Sam articulates a non-obvious framework: the real product that wellness experiences like Othership, SoulCycle, and Barry's Boot Camp sell is not fitness or health — it's state change. This framing has massive implications for what businesses will win in the next decade.
"State is going to become a very important word over the next 10 years. Managing your state, being in a great state... if you are in a bad mood, you can go to a good thing and have a bad time... The body can drag the mind. And so going into hot, cold breath and music and certain odors like eucalyptus, you can literally change your state. And I think that's going to become very addicting to people." - Sam Parr 00:26:00
2. Contrarian Perspectives
The "Too Obvious = Doomed" Investment Heuristic
Most investors and founders celebrate when their pitch gets universal nodding agreement. Sam argues the opposite — consensus approval is a death signal, not a buy signal.
"If your idea is too normal, too understandable, too expected, you actually have no shot... All the great ideas sound a little crazy up front. And so you just have to differentiate the fine line between good crazy and bad crazy." - Sam Parr 00:02:04
Phone Addiction Solving Is Not a Niche — It's a Coming Mega-Trend
The mainstream tech industry dismisses dumb phones and screen-time tools as marginal products for edge-case obsessives. Shaan disagrees forcefully.
"My opinion is that this, to all the big companies out there, this appears to be a very niche, silly thing. My prediction is that in 10 years, this will not be." - Shaan Puri 00:38:14
He substantiates it with the r/dumbphones subreddit growing to 200,000 subscribers, CNN running an unsolicited brand-validating experiment showing measurable cognitive improvement from using a dumb phone, and Apple reportedly developing a flip phone form factor.
The Wellness Experience Is Not About Fitness
SoulCycle, Barry's Boot Camp, hot yoga — the conventional view is these are workout products. Sam argues they are state-change products, and the fitness narrative is almost incidental. This reframes who the real competition and the real customer actually are.
"You could argue in many ways, CrossFit, Barry's SoulCycle are not ideal workouts. They're not great for strength training... But you go, you're in a dark room with a bunch of other people. It's a communal experience. The music is pumping... You change states. And I think that's what people go truly for, not the fitness layer." - Sam Parr 00:26:59
The Brand IS the Moat in Hardware, Not the Technology
Against the standard VC view that defensibility requires technical IP or network effects, Shaan argues that for a new wave of consumer hardware companies, brand is the primary and sufficient moat.
"With these phones and like this thing that I have here, the moat is not the technology right now. The moat is not the product. The moat is the brand. And I think that with, if you took someone who was in advertising and you said, just focus on ads and focus on building a brand, that's really, really cool. That is the moat." - Shaan Puri 00:43:07
3. Companies Identified
Othership
A high-end group sauna and breathwork experience described as "SoulCycle for sauna," with locations in Manhattan and expanding. Shaan is an investor.
Why mentioned: Dana White publicly evangelized it unprompted on Instagram Live. It represents the state-change wellness category and is executing at the highest level of experience design.
"Dana White, the president of the UFC, did one. He went to one. He didn't know anything about it. He went to one. He's like standing up. He's like, I don't know what like this is the most amazing place I've ever been to... He went live on Instagram because he was just so hyped." - Sam Parr 00:25:54
Interplay Learning
Austin, Texas-based VR training company for blue-collar trades (HVAC, solar, plumbing, electrical). The described market leader in this category with hundreds of hours of certified training content delivered via Meta Quest.
Why mentioned: Identified as the category leader solving a stated shortage of 500,000 unfilled HVAC and plumbing jobs in the U.S.
"Interplay Learning in Austin, Texas. They're the leader. They have hundreds of hours of HVAC solar plumbing and electrical training. They can actually get you like certified as a technician or an associate just using Quest." - Sam Parr 00:16:07
Dumb.co
A four-person, four-month-old startup selling a $25 TCL flip phone paired with an app that puts your iPhone into "dumb mode," forwarding calls and making texting deliberately painful.
Why mentioned: Shaan called the company's customer service, spoke directly with what he believed was the CTO, and found a scrappy self-funded founder with strong branding. CNN organically ran a cognitive improvement experiment using their product.
"CNN recently did the best ad campaign ever for this company... They gave them this phone for two weeks. And then they had them redo the test. And his capacity to focus and his capacity to remember went up significantly. And I saw that and I was like, that's the greatest ad I've ever seen." - Shaan Puri 00:36:29
Cleveland Schwitz
A 98-year-old Jewish bathhouse in Cleveland combining Russian-style steam, cold plunge, massages, T-bone steaks, and cocktails at $165/person all-in.
Why mentioned: Called the "hottest reservation in the country" by Barstool Sports. Phones ringing off the hook. Represents a real-world implementation of the "state change as the product" thesis at a compelling price point.
"Barstool called it the hottest reservation in the country this winter. $165 a person covers your drinks, your steam, your cold plunge, and a full meal. Their phones are ringing off the hook with reservations at all hours." - Sam Parr 00:22:55
Cal AI / Flow (Zach Yadigari)
Cal AI was a calorie-tracking app built by a teenager using TikTok for distribution, grown to $20-30M ARR and sold for an estimated $50-100M. His new company, Flow (flowalarmclock.com), makes a physical alarm clock brick that requires you to physically tap it to silence your alarm, forcing you out of bed and away from doom scrolling.
Why mentioned: Validated the dumb phone / return-to-physical trend independently and from a younger demographic vantage point, providing what Shaan called "real validation."
"My prediction was good, but then seeing like a young guy who's way more in the know and like in the pulse of young people because he likes that, it's like kind of, that's like the real validation." - Shaan Puri 00:45:39
Endpoint Arena
A prediction market platform specifically for biotech clinical trial outcomes, founded by Stanford PhD Michael Fisher. Users bet on drug approval timelines and FDA decisions.
Why mentioned: Applies the Polymarket model to a domain — pharmaceutical trials — with enormous information asymmetry and financial stakes, potentially accelerating scientific discovery.
"Endpoint Arena created a polymarket essentially just for betting on... prediction markets, which are typically higher accuracy than individual experts because you get the wisdom of the crowds that have skin in the game." - Sam Parr 00:18:19
Kat GPT (Cat Labs)
An Instagram creator (400-600K followers) who used ChatGPT to design and get FCC approval for a retro Bluetooth rotary landline phone. Sold $800,000 of product in five months after launch and is tracking toward $5M ARR in 2026.
Why mentioned: Exemplifies the brand-as-moat thesis, the return-to-physical trend, and a creator-to-product-company pipeline that could expand into a full SKU ecosystem.
"She sold $800,000 worth of this product in five months. Now in 2026, she's tracking or she says the goal and it's early in the year, but tracking towards $5 million a year in revenue." - Shaan Puri 00:40:33
4. People Identified
Zach Yadigari
Teenage founder who built Cal AI (calorie-tracking app) to $20-30M ARR using TikTok growth, sold for an estimated $50-100M, and is now launching Flow, a physical alarm clock designed to combat doom scrolling.
Why mentioned: Independently validated multiple themes (TikTok-native distribution, physical hardware as the next frontier, phone addiction as a solvable product problem) from a youth vantage point.
"He came on here when he was, I don't know, 17 years old or something. He was in high school. He like came on the podcast in between class periods. He like skipped class to come be on our podcast." - Sam Parr 00:43:15
Christine (the Crossing Guard Newsletter Writer)
A crossing guard running a physical newsletter about her daily job experiences, generating $14,000/month as covered by the Wall Street Journal.
Why mentioned: Real-world proof of concept for the physical newsletter / jank media category, demonstrating that hyper-niche, tactile, non-digital content can generate meaningful revenue without a large existing audience.
"I read this article in the Wall Street Journal how there's this crossing... The headline is, The Crossing Guard Making $14,000 a Month Mailing Out Her Musings from Her Job... she has a monthly physical newsletter where she just writes about things that she's experiencing as a crossing guard." - Shaan Puri 00:31:31
Michael Fisher
Stanford PhD (economics + computer science) and CEO of Endpoint Arena. Former academic interested in prediction markets applied to scientific experimentation.
Why mentioned: Pioneering a novel application of prediction markets to biotech — a high-stakes, information-asymmetric domain where crowd wisdom could genuinely accelerate and cheaply de-risk clinical research.
"Endpoint Arena CEO, Michael Fisher, who's a PhD, studied economics computer science at Stanford, became curious about the promise of prediction markets, and he created an app around this." - Sam Parr 00:19:42
5. Operating Insights
Use the "Graveyard of Gadgets" Test Before Buying or Building
Sam describes a personal heuristic for evaluating commitment before purchasing a new productivity tool or gadget — a useful filter for operators considering new systems or technology adoption.
"I love to buy a gadget, but there's a graveyard of gadgets I don't use in my office and I'm learning like, hey, look, I got to really be committed to actually like commit to the bit if I'm going to do it... So I'm going to kind of wait and see if you tell me like, yeah, dude, I use it all the time." - Sam Parr 00:46:09
Call the Customer Service Line of a Startup You're Investigating
Shaan's method for rapid competitive and market intelligence on an early-stage company with no press coverage: just call their support line. He got directly through to the CTO of dumb.co and extracted headcount, founding story, business model, and growth trajectory in one call.
"There's not any articles written about this company. And so they actually have a customer service number. I just called the customer service this morning and I was like, what's the story of this company? Tell me everything... I could tell I was talking to the CTO... four full-time employees, according to the person I called this morning." - Shaan Puri 00:34:32
The Ridge Wallet SKU Expansion Playbook for Hardware Brands
Shaan outlines a specific expansion framework: start with one hero product that defines a brand identity, then expand the SKU line to adjacent products that serve the same emotional job-to-be-done.
"You could have like a jail for your phone and you could become a company that's all about phone addiction issues. And you could have a variety of SKUs in the same way Ridge Wallet started with wallets and now they also sell..." - Shaan Puri 00:41:01
6. Overlooked Insights
The New York Times Games Product Is a $60M ARR Business Almost No One Talks About
Buried inside the Funday Press discussion, Sam casually drops that the NYT's games-only subscription product — no news, just crosswords, Wordle, etc. — has one million paying subscribers at $5/month, equaling $60M ARR. This is a standalone, profitable media business hiding inside a larger company, and it validates the entire "games without news" category at enormous scale.
"The New York Times games-only product. So no news from the New York Times. It has a million paying subscribers at $5 a month. $60 million in ARR. So this is basically the physical printed out version of that idea." - Sam Parr 00:31:13
This means the Funday Press is not just a quirky indie zine — it is a physical-format play on a category that already has proven nine-figure demand at the digital layer. The physical version is dramatically under-explored.
GLP-1 Patient Data Could Power Biotech Prediction Markets With Unprecedented Accuracy
Endpoint Arena's CEO floated a hypothesis that most listeners likely dismissed as abstract. But it is actually a profound signal: patients currently taking GLP-1 drugs for diabetes or obesity who experience improvements in unrelated conditions could report those observations into a prediction market, generating early-signal clinical intelligence before any formal trial completes — at near-zero cost.
"A known GLP-1 drug is being studied in a new indication. If somebody already taking the therapy for diabetes or obesity experienced improvements related to the new condition being a value of the trial, they could use their firsthand information to inform a prediction on the market. In theory, patterns that emerge through those predictions could provide early signals about a drug's potential and additional indications before the trial is released." - Sam Parr 00:21:27
Given that GLP-1 drugs are now taken by tens of millions of people globally and are being studied for Alzheimer's, addiction, heart disease, and dozens of other indications, this patient-reported prediction market layer could be one of the most valuable pharmacovigilance and drug discovery tools ever built — at a fraction of traditional trial costs.